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Wilsonville’s ‘Magic’ Real Estate Number

12 Feb
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Such Abundant Wilsonville Real Estate Information Can Seem Like Drinking Water From A Fire Hydrant

TMREI: Too Much Real Estate Information
Sometimes absorbing the sea of Wilsonville real estate information seems more like drinking from a fire hydrant. Yet, out of all the seemingly helpful real estate data bandied about, there is one especially helpful number, which when understood, can provide near-magical clarity to both Wilsonville homebuyers and homesellers.

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You Needn’t Be a Magician to Understand Wilsonville Housing Inventory

What Is It?
What is this ‘magic’ number and what does it represent? Simply put, it’s the current figure for housing inventory, typically expressed in months of projected home supply.

Listen to the audio podcast presentation of this helpful program on Wilsonville, Oregon real estate by clicking here or on the above link.

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Understanding Wilsonville Real Estate Inventory is Not Like Playing Bingo

Housing inventory is also sometimes known as home inventory or housing backlog. Why is this number so important? Once you understand the single figure that defines our current supply of local available Wilsonville area homes for sale, you have an instant ‘snapshot’ on whether you’re in a buyer’s market, seller’s market, or more of a balanced real estate market. Armed with that information, you’re far more ready to do battle in the real estate trenches and more likely to avoid some usual minefields. 

Normal Home Supply
Among real estate experts, a ‘normal’ range for home supply in parts of Oregon is frequently cited as somewhere between three to six months. For example, if the home supply figure is three, then hypothetically our market would be ‘out of homes’ in three months, provided no new homes were placed for sale. In other words, if our regional home inventory figure is within three to six months, we’re typically experiencing a normal market, meaning one not far from a balance of supply and demand, also called equilibrium. In a way, it’s kind of like an absorption rate for how fast supply is used up.

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Your Mileage May Vary
It’s helpful to understand that home inventory figures are more of an average for a region. In Oregon, major real estate regions include Portland, Bend, Eugene, Salem and the Oregon Coast. So Wilsonville homesellers and homebuyers are likely to use the Portland area figure as the bellwether for housing backlog. If your home is located in Keizer, you’re likely to see the Salem inventory figure as the closest approximation of local home supply. It’s also likely that your specific area could be somewhat different altogether, based on a variety of hyper-local factors affecting both demand and supply. That said, home inventory is a convenient ‘thumbnail’ sketch to help assess what kind of market you’re in.

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Consider Wilsonville Area Home Inventory Like A Pipeline

What’s The Practical Impact of Housing Inventory?
Consider real estate and inventory like a pipeline. If more flows through it, the product is plentiful and therefore the cheaper it is to buy. So with a lower, dwindling home supply and the spigot turned down, the reverse is true. That’s when the local real estate environment favors sellers, because there are more buyers and it’s considered a ‘seller’s market.’ In that case, expect a short market time and an environment where homesellers receive multiple offers, often at or above listing price. If the supply of homes is higher, it’s considered a ‘buyer’s market.’ This means you can expect a longer market time, with homesellers seeing few, if any offers…and frequently for less than the asking price.  

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Negotiation is Expected, But Most Homesellers Don’t Want to ‘Armwrestle’ With Homebuyers

It’s routinely a good idea for buyers to get a ‘heads up’ before making an offer to determine how ‘hot’ or ‘cold’ the market is. Otherwise, if you ‘lowball’ a just-listed home in a seller’s market, you may be lucky to even get a counteroffer instead of an outright rejection by sellers experiencing lots of calls and showings on their property. Coming in with an offer that’s too low sometimes causes offended sellers to refuse to seriously consider a possible follow up offer.

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The Number of Competing Homes for Sale Affects Market Time

What’s the Big Deal About Wilsonville Housing Inventory?
One reason Wilsonville housing inventory is so important is because it helps buyers and sellers to better manage expectations. Most buyers are interested in how long it may take to find the ‘right’ house. Inventory affects this. Alternatively, most sellers are interested in how long it may take to find a qualified buyer. Inventory affects this, too.

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Oregon Homesellers Can ‘Jumpstart’ Buyer Activity With Accurate Pricing

That’s because a high home inventory tends to slow down the market time and low inventory frequently provides a ‘jump start’ to activity. One way sellers can help to avoid an excessively long market time is to review comparable local home sales information provided by their Realtor to ensure proper, market pricing.

Another reason housing inventory is crucial is because it can significantly impact so many other important factors. In other words, inventory is a ‘driver’ for market time, selling price, appraisal results, lendability and more.

Okay, So Inventory Is Important. What Does It Look Like?

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Portland Metro Sample Home Inventory

The above image provides a good example of fluctuating home inventory. As greater Wilsonville’s real estate market bounced back from the severe market downturn of the Great Recession, home inventory reduced from more than 20 months of housing supply to less than three.

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It’s Wise to Consult An Experienced Realtor Before You Leap Into the Market

Contact the Experts
Thinking about selling your Wilsonville area property? Know the market before diving in! Contact Certified Realty with your questions and for a free consultation on what your property could sell for today using the contact form below or call (800) 637-1950.

 

 

Wilsonville Waterfront Acreage Has Sale Pending

10 Mar
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This attractive Willamette River acreage has great views and a sale pending

An attractive riverfront acreage featured on WilsonvilleHomes.com in April of last year, then-priced at 1.8 million dollars, is now expected to soon be sold.

Anticipated use of this Wilsonville property is for additional access to the Willamette River and more park area. Read a recent article about this Wilsonville area Willamette River acreage here.

Wilsonville Real Estate Update

17 Feb

New figures from the Regional Multiple Listing Service known as RMLS reveal a recent uptick in Wilsonville’s regional home supply. Yet, despite a growth in the regional home supply, Wilsonville year-to-date home prices remain clearly in positive territory.

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“Wilsonville Memorial Park Trail” by M.O. Stevens

Regional Real Estate By The Numbers
Our Portland metro home inventory remains relatively low. For comparison, Portland’s home supply is almost half that of the greater Salem area.

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Greater Portland Metro Home Inventory

A housing backlog of just 3.4 months is generally considered by real estate experts as a ‘seller’s market.’ 

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Portland Metro Area Regional Home Price Chart

Wilsonville home prices are up 7.3% over the past year and sport an average selling price of $349,700.

Click here or on the Market Action image below for the complete latest Portland metro area real estate report, which includes specifics on our Wilsonville market.

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Click For Free Report

Check out page #2 of the report for this detailed information, like average selling price and days on market, for Wilsonville and other local towns and neighborhoods.

Thinking about selling your Wilsonville property? Use the convenient form below to contact our sponsor, Certified Realty for a free consultation about your property.

Wilsonville Real Estate: What To Expect In 2015

31 Dec

Feature Article by Realtor Roy Widing

Predictions on Wilsonville’s real estate market are difficult to make with accuracy. Take, for example, local weather forecasts. Even when armed with technology like detailed satellite images, plus wind, barometric and temperature data, weather forecasters can get it wrong…and that’s for predictions merely a week or two away! 

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Accurately Predicting Weather & Real Estate Trends Seems Easy

Predicting Wilsonville’s Real Estate Trends
Now imagine the difficulty in predicting real estate market activity a full year into the future. Along with seasonal influences, other challenges in real estate forecasting include changing interest and employment rates, ever-shifting home inventory levels, plus a myriad of lending regulations and the mysteries of the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy, just to name a few.  Little wonder, then that some view real estate predictions as akin to flipping a coin or using a dart board.

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While Fun, Darts Are A Poor Choice For Accurate Real Estate Forecasting

Real Estate Forecasting: What Can Work
Though not foolproof, one generally helpful tool for predicting future real estate trends can be past real estate trends. Major unpredictable shifts occasionally occur, but the key word here is occasionally.

For example, the Great Recession that hit Wilsonville and the entire country starting around 2007-2008 was our nation’s worst economic downturn since 1929.  Thankfully we haven’t seen such financial meltdowns every year, or every decade, or even every half century. So aside from similar cataclysmic shifts, a certain degree of real estate predictability is possible. 

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Regional Home Price Chart Including Clackamas County

Reasons For 2015 Wilsonville Real Estate Optimism
Several factors are coming together to provide for an optimistic New Year in our area. As you’ll see, some factors are under federal control and others occur locally, but each has an impact on Wilsonville real estate. So if you’ve held off selling your Wilsonville area home, here are four of them that portend a good 2015: 

1. Credit Scores Loosen
Most homebuyers need a home loan, generally known as a mortgage. The good news is that mortgage credit is becoming more available as lenders loosen credit requirements.

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Credit (FICO) Requirements Have Loosened

2. Lower Down Payments
Government-sponsored loans from Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac recently brought out a 3% mortgage option. If conventional lenders also start offering similar low-down payment choices, this could bring more first time homebuyers into the market. This vital Oregon homebuyer group has long been under-represented, with their levels at the lowest since 1987.

3. Consumer Optimism
Recent figures from the National Association of Realtors confirm homebuyers are now more optimistic. This includes our area. When it comes to single family homes, the ‘Confidence Index’ chart below shows most states now have a majority level of optimism in their region, including ours.

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Orange & Red = Strong Single Family Home Consumer Confidence

4. Home Inventory Remains Low
Thanks in part to the reduced level of local new construction, home inventory in our region is still near historic lows. Our most recent survey shows we have 3.2 months of housing backlog. This suggests we have more buyers than sellers. As a result, Wilsonville homesellers can take advantage of what remains largely a ‘seller’s market’ heading into 2015. 

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Our Regional Home Supply Is Low

The Bottom Line
If you’ve held off selling your Wilsonville home because you were ‘under water,’ or concerned about the market being too low, now is a good time to consider re-evaluating.

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Many Wilsonville Homeowners Are No Longer ‘Under Water’

Wilsonville’s real estate market has changed. Experts predict regional home price growth to continue at a steady, albeit slower pace through 2015, compared to the 7.2% price increase to date for 2014. As a result, some suggest a 3% annual increase in area home prices. Depending on a variety of factors, that may indeed end up being conservative on the low end. For Wilsonville, expect between 3% to 6% in 2015 home price appreciation.  

Wilsonville Real Estate Statistics

30 Sep

A recent survey specifically on Wilsonville homes from Ticor Title provides interesting information on our local market as we head into Autumn.

Wilsonville home prices have surged since Spring, making the median list price for a Wilsonville home now $419,900. View this new report on Wilsonville real estate by clicking here, or on the image below.

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Click Image to View New Report

The average market time to sell a Wilsonville home is now 110 days. In addition, 36% of Wilsonville properties for sale have had a price decrease.

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Some Wilsonville Homesellers Prefer To Be In Their New Home For the Holidays

Thinking about selling your Wilsonville, Oregon home? With Wilsonville home prices up, this could be a great opportunity to lock in your home selling profits.

Contact our sponsor, Certified Realty for a FREE report on what your Wilsonville property could sell for in today’s market. Simply use the convenient contact form below for your FREE report.

September’s Sold Wilsonville Homes

29 Sep

As September wraps up, 25 detached, single family Wilsonville homes have sold so far this month according to the Regional Multiple Listing Service. The sold prices range from $282,000 to $810,125.

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This Wilsonville Home with Nearly 8 Acres on Stafford Road Recently Sold.  

View photos of all these recently sold Wilsonville homes and their selling prices by clicking here. Please allow a minute to load, depending on your Internet connection.

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This Home in Wilsonville’s Charbonneau Neighborhood Recently Sold For $810,125

Have you considered selling your Wilsonville home? As you can see, Wilsonville real estate prices remain strong. For a FREE report on what your Wilsonville home could sell for, contact our WilsonvilleHomes.com sponsor, Wilsonville’s Certified Realty using the contact form below.

Wilsonville Real Estate News

18 Sep

A new report on Wilsonville real estate was just released by Ticor Title Company. This survey confirms a significant upward price trend for Wilsonville homes, particularly over the past few months.

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Click Image for Report

According to this new report, the median list price for a Wilsonville home is now just under $400,000. And the average market time to sell a Wilsonville home? That figure is now at 106 days, or right around 3.5 months.

Wilsonville-Homes

Thinking about selling your Wilsonville home and curious what it could sell for? Now could be the perfect time, since Wilsonville home inventory is low right now and competition among sellers is diminishing. It’s truly a seller’s market.

Our WilsonvilleHomes.com sponsor, Certified Realty will provide you with a FREE report that is tailor-made for your own property. For your FREE report, simply contact your Wilsonville real estate experts, Wilsonville’s very own Certified Realty, using the convenient form below.

 

Wilsonville Real Estate News

8 Sep

Wilsonville Meadows

Recent information on our local Wilsonville real estate market is now available. With school beginning as we move toward Autumn, it’s reasonable to expect a somewhat less robust pace of home sales.

Many, though certainly not all, 2014 buyers have bought their home by now. This brings “empty-nesters,” relocating transferees, singles, and young families to the forefront as a bigger slice of the buyer pool for the remainder of the year. For sellers, Autumn can bring more motivated buyers with less competition from other home sellers, when compared to Spring.

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Click here or on the image below for the latest information about Wilsonville real estate. 

Wilsonville Homes, Wilsonville Real Estate, Wilsonville Oregon, Wilsonville PropertiesClick image to view the latest report on Wilsonville, Oregon real estate

The average time on the market for a Wilsonville home is now 110 days. This compares to the most recent figure of 93 days for greater Portland.

Thinking…

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Wilsonville Real Estate Market Report

4 Sep

An interesting new report on Wilsonville homes was recently released.

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Many Wilsonville Homes Are Known For Their Gorgeous Interiors

Especially notable in this report is the fact that more than 1/3 of all Wilsonville homes for sale saw a price drop before selling. Plenty of other helpful information is included, like the average days on the market it takes for a Wilsonville home to sell and the median list price.

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Click on Image to Enlarge

Click here or on the image above to view this new Wilsonville homes report.

Take Our Poll: Build A Wilsonville Aquatic Center?

6 Jun

Wilsonville residents have discussed building a swim center for many years. Now it appears the opportunity is gaining steam. A recent news article provides background on current prospects for a Wilsonville aquatic center.

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Many Wilsonville Residents Support An Aquatic Center

There are plenty of reasons to consider the construction of a swim center in Wilsonville. Learning to swim is a potentially life-saving and healthful activity, plus an aquatic center further promotes youth sports and senior exercise. In essence, a new swimming pool offers benefits for virtually everyone in our community.

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Learning To Swim Can Be Fun

One primary reason against such an aquatic center is cost, and how best to raise the necessary funds.

Take our poll. Should Wilsonville move forward and build an aquatic center?

 

 

Building A Wilsonville Home?

7 Apr

To build a Wilsonville home, you need Wilsonville real estate. How does 440 feet of Willamette Riverfront sound?

One such rare opportunity is a lightly wooded parcel currently for sale at $1,800,000. This unique Wilsonville property features nearly 3.5 acres on the site of a former manufactured home park.

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Willamette River

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View From Currently Available Wilsonville Property

For more information about this or any real estate for your next Wilsonville home, contact our sponsor, Wilsonville’s own Certified Realty using the convenient form below.

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